📅 2026-10-08
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Methanol · Single-name brief
This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
郑商所甲醇主力连续(CZCE.MA)深度分析 | 减仓回补下的偏空结构 | 2026-10-08
方向结论：偏空。甲醇主力连续（实际执行合约以连续映射为准）在结算价2935（2026-09-30）附近呈现减仓上涨特征，主力持仓660568手、单日减少23986手，名义持仓196.3亿元、日变-7.13亿元，属空头回补而非多头主动增仓，反弹持续性存疑。20日累计-3.16%，价格位于20日通道2821–3576的20%分位，中期结构仍偏弱；ATR14为119.14（4.01%），RV20达57%，波动放大而方向未确认。前20席位净空118433手、净空增加3745手，空头未实质撤退。方向失效条件：若结算价有效站上枢轴R1 2996.67并伴随主力持仓回升，则空头逻辑失效。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
🇺🇸English original - AI-generated research (not machine translation)
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