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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
大商所玉米淀粉主力连续(DCE.CS)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
方向结论:偏空。玉米淀粉主力连续(实际执行合约以交易所连续合约映射为准)在2026-09-30结算价2440元/吨,20日累计-5.95%,处于20日通道2407–2597的14.2%低分位,趋势结构仍偏弱;主力持仓294003手、单日-25706手,名义持仓71.6亿元、日变-6.26亿元,呈减仓上涨(空头回补)特征,缺乏多头主动增仓的持续性;前20席位净空49190手、净空小幅扩大,反弹动能有限。基本面端缺乏新增利多驱动,宏观传导偏中性。方向失效条件:若结算价有效站上20日通道上沿2597并伴随主力持仓回升,则空头逻辑失效,转为观望。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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