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📅 2026-10-08 · PVC · Single-name brief

This report is provided by MacroTerms.com

Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)

大商所PVC主力连续(DCE.V)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08

方向偏多。PVC主力连续（实际执行合约以数据段连续合约映射为准，本报告统一以DCE.V指代）在2026-09-30结算价4906元/吨，单日对昨结上涨4.3%，5日累计上涨5.09%，20日累计上涨2.27%，价格位于20日通道4673–5194的62.6%分位，ATR14为125元（2.5%），RV20为28.7%，波动率处于偏高水平。上一根已收盘周线（2026-09-28至09-30）开4808、高5004、低4748、收4999，周涨4.19%，显示节前一周多头动能集中释放。主力持仓1042564手，单日减少36857手，主力名义持仓260.6亿元、日变-9.21亿元，呈减仓上涨特征，属空头回补主导。综合判断短期偏多，但需警惕节后跳空与10月14日CPI/PPI数据扰动。方向失效条件：结算价有效跌破枢轴S1 4861.33并伴随持仓回升。

Single-name briefs Deep dive

SHFE GoldSHFE.AU 2026-10-08
沪金(2612)深度分析 | 减仓回补下的技术性修复 910.58承压 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALneutral_context
Deep diveRead
SHFE SilverSHFE.AG 2026-10-08
沪银(SHFE.AG)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：M2612失守15000关口，空头回补难改弱势 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
SHFE CopperSHFE.CU 2026-10-08
沪铜(SHFE.CU)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 节后补涨窗口偏多 | 2026-10-08
LONGneutral_context
Deep diveRead
RebarSHFE.RB 2026-10-08
螺纹钢(SHFE.RB)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多但需确认 | 2026-10-08
LONG1-2waligned
Deep diveRead
CSI 300 FuturesCFFEX.IF 2026-10-08
沪深300股指（CFFEX.IF）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SSE 50 FuturesCFFEX.IH 2026-10-08
中金所 上证50股指主力连续(CFFEX.IH)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
CSI 1000 FuturesCFFEX.IM 2026-10-08
中证1000主力连续(IM)深度分析 | 偏空：贴20日下沿缩量整理 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
5Y Treasury FuturesCFFEX.TF 2026-10-08
中金所5年国债主力连续(CFFEX.TF)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
2Y Treasury FuturesCFFEX.TS 2026-10-08
中金所2年国债主力连续(CFFEX.TS)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
AppleCZCE.AP 2026-10-08
CZCE.AP(CZCE.AP)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 破位后偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
CottonCZCE.CF 2026-10-08
棉花(CZCE.CF)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 破20日低点后偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Red DatesCZCE.CJ 2026-10-08
CZCE.CJ红枣深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 减仓反弹难改弱势，关注7000关口 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Cotton YarnCZCE.CY 2026-10-08
棉纱CY深度报告 | 偏空：20日跌4.11%失守P，反弹乏力 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
GlassCZCE.FG 2026-10-08
郑商所 玻璃主力连续（CZCE.FG）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
MethanolCZCE.MA 2026-10-08
郑商所甲醇主力连续(CZCE.MA)深度分析 | 减仓回补下的偏空结构 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Polyester Staple FiberCZCE.PF 2026-10-08
郑商所 短纤主力连续(CZCE.PF)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓上涨动能衰减 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PeanutsCZCE.PK 2026-10-08
CZCE.PK花生深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 减仓回补下的区间震荡 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PropyleneCZCE.PL 2026-10-08
CZCE.PL丙烯深度报告 | 结算9307后高位整理待方向 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PET Bottle ChipsCZCE.PR 2026-10-08
CZCE.PR(瓶片)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多但需防节后跳空 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
ParaxyleneCZCE.PX 2026-10-08
CZCE.PX深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：低持仓分位下的减仓下跌 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Rapeseed MealCZCE.RM 2026-10-08
郑商所菜粕主力连续(CZCE.RM)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓反弹难改弱势 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
RapeseedCZCE.RS 2026-10-08
菜籽深度报告 | 持仓创一年极值 方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
FerrosiliconCZCE.SF 2026-10-08
郑商所 硅铁主力连续(CZCE.SF)深度分析报告 | 10-08 偏空：低分位缩量待方向 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Caustic SodaCZCE.SH 2026-10-08
烧碱SH2601深度分析 | 破20日低点后偏空，关注1800关口 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SugarCZCE.SR 2026-10-08
白糖(CZCE.SR)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 国际市场强势与中国市场减仓背离 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PTACZCE.TA 2026-10-08
郑商所PTA主力连续(CZCE.TA)深度分析 | 减仓上涨后方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
UreaCZCE.UR 2026-10-08
郑商所尿素主力连续(CZCE.UR)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓回补难改需求淡季 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
No.2 SoybeansDCE.B 2026-10-08
DCE.B豆二深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 减仓反弹待验证 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PlywoodDCE.BB 2026-10-08
DCE.BB(DCE.BB)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 低波动区间偏多 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
BenzeneDCE.BZ 2026-10-08
DCE.BZ纯苯深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
CornDCE.C 2026-10-08
大商所玉米主力连续(DCE.C)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Corn StarchDCE.CS 2026-10-08
大商所玉米淀粉主力连续(DCE.CS)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
StyreneDCE.EB 2026-10-08
大商所 苯乙烯主力连续(DCE.EB)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
FiberboardDCE.FB 2026-10-08
DCE.FB(DCE.FB)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多但动能受限 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Iron OreDCE.I 2026-10-08
铁矿石（DCE.I）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
CokeDCE.J 2026-10-08
焦炭(DCE.J)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 空头回补驱动反弹 上方2276承压 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
EggsDCE.JD 2026-10-08
大商所鸡蛋主力连续(JD)深度分析 | 10-08 偏空：减仓下跌与双节后需求真空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
LogsDCE.LG 2026-10-08
DCE.LG(DCE.LG)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 中性观望 等待CPI/PPI指引 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Live HogsDCE.LH 2026-10-08
大商所生猪主力连续(DCE.LH)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 空头回补反弹 逢高布空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SoymealDCE.M 2026-10-08
豆粕(DCE.M)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓反弹遇季节性逆风 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Palm OilDCE.P 2026-10-08
大商所棕榈油主力连续(DCE.P)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
LPGDCE.PG 2026-10-08
大商所液化气主力连续(DCE.PG)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PPDCE.PP 2026-10-08
大商所聚丙烯主力连续(DCE.PP)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Japonica RiceDCE.RR 2026-10-08
DCE.RR粳米2611深度分析 | 破20日高但驱动不足 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PVCDCE.V 2026-10-08
大商所PVC主力连续(DCE.V)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SoyoilDCE.Y 2026-10-08
豆油(DCE.Y)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多：减仓上涨与低波动待变 | 2026-10-08
LONGneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Lithium CarbonateGFEX.LC 2026-10-08
碳酸锂(GFEX.LC)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：失守120000后弱势延续 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
GFEX PalladiumGFEX.PD 2026-10-08
广期所钯主力连续(GFEX.PD)深度分析 | 10-08 偏空：20日跌8.36% | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PolysiliconGFEX.PS 2026-10-08
广期所 多晶硅主力连续(GFEX.PS)深度分析 | 减仓回补下的弱势整理 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
GFEX PlatinumGFEX.PT 2026-10-08
广期所 铂主力连续（GFEX.PT）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Industrial SiliconGFEX.SI 2026-10-08
广期所 工业硅主力连续(GFEX.SI)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
INE Copper (BC)INE.BC 2026-10-08
国际铜主力连续(INE.BC)深度分析 | 10-08 增仓下跌，偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Container Freight (Europe)INE.EC 2026-10-08
能源中心 欧线集运主力连续(INE.EC)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多但减仓待确认 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Fuel OilINE.LU 2026-10-08
低硫燃油(INE.LU)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：M2611失守5200后关注5096支撑 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
TSR 20 RubberINE.NR 2026-10-08
能源中心 20号胶主力连续(INE.NR)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
INE CrudeINE.SC 2026-10-08
原油(INE.SC)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：低持仓下的减仓下跌 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Cast Aluminum AlloySHFE.AD 2026-10-08
SHFE.AD(M2611)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 持仓极值下的方向抉择 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SHFE AluminumSHFE.AL 2026-10-08
沪铝M2611深度分析 | 跌破20日低点后偏空，关注23760枢轴支撑 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
AluminaSHFE.AO 2026-10-08
上期所氧化铝主力连续(SHFE.AO)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 节后首日偏空观望 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Butadiene RubberSHFE.BR 2026-10-08
上期所丁二烯橡胶主力连续(SHFE.BR)深度分析报告 | 减仓上涨后高位整理，偏多 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
BitumenSHFE.BU 2026-10-08
SHFE.BU(沥青2611)深度分析 | 减仓下跌后方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SHFE Fuel OilSHFE.FU 2026-10-08
SHFE.FU(燃料油2611)深度分析 | 减仓上涨后高波动区间的方向选择 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
HRCSHFE.HC 2026-10-08
上期所 热卷主力连续（SHFE.HC）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
SHFE NickelSHFE.NI 2026-10-08
沪镍（SHFE.NI）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Offset PaperSHFE.OP 2026-10-08
SHFE.OP(M2611)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓下行与低分位区间 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SHFE LeadSHFE.PB 2026-10-08
上期所 沪铅主力连续(SHFE.PB)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SHFE TinSHFE.SN 2026-10-08
上期所 沪锡主力连续(SHFE.SN)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PulpSHFE.SP 2026-10-08
SHFE.SP纸浆2611深度分析报告 | 增仓下跌后方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Stainless SteelSHFE.SS 2026-10-08
上期所不锈钢主力连续(SHFE.SS)深度分析 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓下跌待验证 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SHFE ZincSHFE.ZN 2026-10-08
沪锌(M2611)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：累库与减仓共振 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead

Previous briefs

2026-10-01：Single-name大商所PVC主力连续(DCE.V)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-01 空头回补驱动反弹 上方压力渐显 | 2026-10-01 View

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