This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
广期所钯主力连续(GFEX.PD)深度分析 | 10-08 偏空:20日跌8.36% | 2026-10-08
方向偏空。钯主力连续(GFEX.PD)结算价289.4(2026-09-30),5日跌4.77%、20日跌8.36%,20日通道283.8–329.3内位置仅18.5%,ATR14为6.81(2.33%),RV20达31%,价格贴近通道下沿且波动放大,属弱势下行结构。主力持仓11599手、单日减83手,价格反弹伴随持仓回落,更接近空头回补而非多头主动增仓,缺乏增量买盘承接。上一根已收盘周线(09-28~09-30)收292.2、周跌2.75%,中期重心仍在下移。宏观端美元指数101.85(-0.32%)、美十债收益率5.27%(-0.79%),美元与利率边际回落对钯价仅构成弱支撑,不足以扭转趋势。方向失效条件:结算价有效站上20日通道上沿329.3并伴随主力持仓同步增加,或宏观出现明确的汽车尾气催化剂需求超预期信号。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
Today's Risk Map
Macro · Micro · Cross-assetVIP members unlock thresholds & transmission chains. Upgrade
Full brief is for VIP members
The body, key levels, charts and PDF are for active VIP members.
Single-name briefs Deep dive
Previous briefs
No earlier briefs for this contract yet.
⟠ This month's strategy backtest
Daily AI brief ideas settled day-by-day with objective stop/target matching
No settled signals yet - sample building up.
* Backtest settles each daily trade idea: stop/target whichever first, flat at close when window ends. Past performance does not predict future results.