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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
沪深300股指(CFFEX.IF)深度分析报告|偏空 | 2026-10-08
方向偏空。报告日前一交易日(2026-09-30)结算价4300.8点,5日跌4.01%、20日跌6.45%,20日通道位置仅15.7%,价格贴近通道下沿4246;主力持仓166992手、单日减2881手,价格反弹伴随减仓,性质为空头回补而非多头主动增仓,反弹持续性存疑。ATR14为68.61点(1.6%),RV20为17%,波动率不高但方向偏弱。上一根已收盘周线(09-28至09-30)收4300.8、周跌1.7%,周线重心下移。方向失效条件:若日线结算价重新站上20日通道中轴或枢轴R1上方并伴随持仓回升,则偏空判断失效。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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