📅 2026-10-08
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Red Dates · Single-name brief
This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
CZCE.CJ红枣深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 减仓反弹难改弱势，关注7000关口 | 2026-10-08
方向结论：偏空。红枣主力合约（CZCE.CJ）在2026-09-30结算价7120元/吨，5日跌2.86%、20日跌9.52%，处于20日通道13.6%低分位，趋势结构明确向下。前20席位净空29,766手，主力名义持仓单日减少4.43亿元，减仓上涨属空头回补而非多头主动增仓，反弹持续性存疑。基本面缺乏利多驱动，国庆长假后消费转淡，新季红枣供应压力逐步兑现。方向失效条件：若结算价有效站上20日通道中轴7500元/吨并伴随持仓增加，则空头逻辑需重新评估。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
🇺🇸English original - AI-generated research (not machine translation)
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