📅 2026-10-08
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Peanuts · Single-name brief
This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
CZCE.PK花生深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 减仓回补下的区间震荡 | 2026-10-08
中性观望。CZCE.PK花生主力合约（实际执行合约为近月连续，下称花生主力）在2026-09-30结算价7966元/吨，较前一结算+0.78%，但5日涨跌0%、20日涨跌-0.52%，价格处于20日通道60.6%位置，方向性驱动不足。主力持仓单日减少22193手至132886手，主力名义持仓单日缩减8.87亿元至53.1亿元，属减仓上涨、空头回补性质，而非多头主动增仓，反弹持续性存疑。基本面与宏观数据均无增量信息，美元指数101.85（-0.32%）、美债10年期收益率5.27%（-0.79%）仅构成中性外部环境。综合判断，花生主力短期维持7764–8140区间震荡，方向失效条件为结算价有效突破8140或跌破7764。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
🇺🇸English original - AI-generated research (not machine translation)
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