📅 2026-10-08
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Soyoil · Single-name brief
This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
豆油(DCE.Y)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多：减仓上涨与低波动待变 | 2026-10-08
方向结论：偏多。核心逻辑有三：一是主力合约减仓上涨，持仓单日减少11721手、名义持仓日降10.52亿元，价格却上涨1.32%，属空头回补驱动的修复性上行；二是国际市场豆油（ZL=F）结算价69.91美分/磅、5日累计上涨2.27%，成本端与比价端同步提供支撑；三是DCE.Y结算价8934元/吨仍低于20日通道中位，20日区间8817–9286内位置仅33%，而ATR14为113.5元、RV20仅10.5%，波动压缩后向上修复的赔率优于向下。方向失效条件：若结算价有效跌破S1枢轴8899.67元/吨并进一步失守20日低点8817元/吨，则多头逻辑失效，转为观望。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
🇺🇸English original - AI-generated research (not machine translation)
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