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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
国际铜主力连续(INE.BC)深度分析 | 10-08 增仓下跌，偏空 | 2026-10-08
结论偏空。国际铜主力连续（执行合约 M2611）结算价 97980（2026-09-30），5 日跌 1.91%、20 日仅涨 0.31%，价格位于 20 日通道 54.9% 中位，ATR14 1339.29（1.37%），RV20 18.4%，波动收敛而方向未定。主力持仓 13616 手（+83），名义持仓 66.7 亿元（+0.41 亿元），呈增仓下跌，空头主动；前 20 席位净多 545 手（+71），多空同步减仓，分歧收敛。LME 铜库存 242975 吨（截至 2026-10-06，-1925 吨），近 20 期累计 +5250 吨，SHFE 铜仓单 10011 吨（截至 2026-09-30，-721 吨），COMEX 铜注册库存 471400 短吨（截至 2026-10-05，日变 0）。美元指数 101.85（-0.32%）、美债 10 年期 5.27%（-0.79%）构成弱支撑。方向失效条件：结算价站上 20 日高点 100590。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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