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📅 2026-10-08 · SHFE Gold · Single-name brief

This report is provided by MacroTerms.com

Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)

沪金(2612)深度分析 | 减仓回补下的技术性修复 910.58承压 | 2026-10-08

方向结论：中性观望。沪金2612结算905.04（2026-09-30）虽对昨结反弹+1.42%，但5日-2.69%、20日-5.14%，20日通道位置仅21.2%，趋势仍偏弱；主力持仓225591手减229手、名义持仓2054.2亿元减2.09亿元，属减仓上涨（空头回补）而非多头主动增仓，反弹持续性存疑。国际市场GC=F结算4187.1（2026-10-06）20日-5.67%，亚洲时段回落至4131.3，国际与中国市场溢价+0.87%但5日前为-0.67%，进口窗口边际打开。COT管理基金净多120318手连续四周回落、拥挤度92.51分位偏高，GVZ 22.97处1年14%分位、IV−RV+6.0，期权定价事件风险。方向失效条件：沪金2612结算站上914.47（R1）转偏多，或跌破903.47（S1）并失守892.62（20日低点）确认偏空。

Single-name briefs Deep dive

SHFE GoldSHFE.AU 2026-10-08
沪金(2612)深度分析 | 减仓回补下的技术性修复 910.58承压 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALneutral_context
Deep diveRead
SHFE SilverSHFE.AG 2026-10-08
沪银(SHFE.AG)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：M2612失守15000关口，空头回补难改弱势 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
SHFE CopperSHFE.CU 2026-10-08
沪铜(SHFE.CU)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 节后补涨窗口偏多 | 2026-10-08
LONGneutral_context
Deep diveRead
RebarSHFE.RB 2026-10-08
螺纹钢(SHFE.RB)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多但需确认 | 2026-10-08
LONG1-2waligned
Deep diveRead
CSI 1000 FuturesCFFEX.IM 2026-10-08
中证1000主力连续(IM)深度分析 | 偏空：贴20日下沿缩量整理 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
2Y Treasury FuturesCFFEX.TS 2026-10-08
中金所2年国债主力连续(CFFEX.TS)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
AppleCZCE.AP 2026-10-08
CZCE.AP(CZCE.AP)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 破位后偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Red DatesCZCE.CJ 2026-10-08
CZCE.CJ红枣深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 减仓反弹难改弱势，关注7000关口 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Cotton YarnCZCE.CY 2026-10-08
棉纱CY深度报告 | 偏空：20日跌4.11%失守P，反弹乏力 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
GlassCZCE.FG 2026-10-08
郑商所 玻璃主力连续（CZCE.FG）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
MethanolCZCE.MA 2026-10-08
郑商所甲醇主力连续(CZCE.MA)深度分析 | 减仓回补下的偏空结构 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Polyester Staple FiberCZCE.PF 2026-10-08
郑商所 短纤主力连续(CZCE.PF)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓上涨动能衰减 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PeanutsCZCE.PK 2026-10-08
CZCE.PK花生深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 减仓回补下的区间震荡 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PropyleneCZCE.PL 2026-10-08
CZCE.PL丙烯深度报告 | 结算9307后高位整理待方向 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALneutral_context
Deep diveRead
PET Bottle ChipsCZCE.PR 2026-10-08
CZCE.PR(瓶片)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多但需防节后跳空 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
ParaxyleneCZCE.PX 2026-10-08
CZCE.PX深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：低持仓分位下的减仓下跌 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
RapeseedCZCE.RS 2026-10-08
菜籽深度报告 | 持仓创一年极值 方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
FerrosiliconCZCE.SF 2026-10-08
郑商所 硅铁主力连续(CZCE.SF)深度分析报告 | 10-08 偏空：低分位缩量待方向 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Caustic SodaCZCE.SH 2026-10-08
烧碱SH2601深度分析 | 破20日低点后偏空，关注1800关口 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PTACZCE.TA 2026-10-08
郑商所PTA主力连续(CZCE.TA)深度分析 | 减仓上涨后方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
UreaCZCE.UR 2026-10-08
郑商所尿素主力连续(CZCE.UR)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓回补难改需求淡季 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
No.2 SoybeansDCE.B 2026-10-08
DCE.B豆二深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 减仓反弹待验证 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PlywoodDCE.BB 2026-10-08
DCE.BB(DCE.BB)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 低波动区间偏多 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
BenzeneDCE.BZ 2026-10-08
DCE.BZ纯苯深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
CornDCE.C 2026-10-08
大商所玉米主力连续(DCE.C)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Corn StarchDCE.CS 2026-10-08
大商所玉米淀粉主力连续(DCE.CS)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
FiberboardDCE.FB 2026-10-08
DCE.FB(DCE.FB)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多但动能受限 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Iron OreDCE.I 2026-10-08
铁矿石（DCE.I）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
CokeDCE.J 2026-10-08
焦炭(DCE.J)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 空头回补驱动反弹 上方2276承压 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
EggsDCE.JD 2026-10-08
大商所鸡蛋主力连续(JD)深度分析 | 10-08 偏空：减仓下跌与双节后需求真空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
LogsDCE.LG 2026-10-08
DCE.LG(DCE.LG)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 中性观望 等待CPI/PPI指引 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Live HogsDCE.LH 2026-10-08
大商所生猪主力连续(DCE.LH)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 空头回补反弹 逢高布空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
SoymealDCE.M 2026-10-08
豆粕(DCE.M)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓反弹遇季节性逆风 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
LPGDCE.PG 2026-10-08
大商所液化气主力连续(DCE.PG)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SoyoilDCE.Y 2026-10-08
豆油(DCE.Y)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多：减仓上涨与低波动待变 | 2026-10-08
LONGneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Lithium CarbonateGFEX.LC 2026-10-08
碳酸锂(GFEX.LC)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：失守120000后弱势延续 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
GFEX PalladiumGFEX.PD 2026-10-08
广期所钯主力连续(GFEX.PD)深度分析 | 10-08 偏空：20日跌8.36% | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PolysiliconGFEX.PS 2026-10-08
广期所 多晶硅主力连续(GFEX.PS)深度分析 | 减仓回补下的弱势整理 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
GFEX PlatinumGFEX.PT 2026-10-08
广期所 铂主力连续（GFEX.PT）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
INE Copper (BC)INE.BC 2026-10-08
国际铜主力连续(INE.BC)深度分析 | 10-08 增仓下跌，偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Container Freight (Europe)INE.EC 2026-10-08
能源中心 欧线集运主力连续(INE.EC)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏多但减仓待确认 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Fuel OilINE.LU 2026-10-08
低硫燃油(INE.LU)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：M2611失守5200后关注5096支撑 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
INE CrudeINE.SC 2026-10-08
原油(INE.SC)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：低持仓下的减仓下跌 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Cast Aluminum AlloySHFE.AD 2026-10-08
SHFE.AD(M2611)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 持仓极值下的方向抉择 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SHFE AluminumSHFE.AL 2026-10-08
沪铝M2611深度分析 | 跌破20日低点后偏空，关注23760枢轴支撑 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
Butadiene RubberSHFE.BR 2026-10-08
上期所丁二烯橡胶主力连续(SHFE.BR)深度分析报告 | 减仓上涨后高位整理，偏多 | 2026-10-08
LONGno_house_view
Deep diveRead
BitumenSHFE.BU 2026-10-08
SHFE.BU(沥青2611)深度分析 | 减仓下跌后方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
SHFE Fuel OilSHFE.FU 2026-10-08
SHFE.FU(燃料油2611)深度分析 | 减仓上涨后高波动区间的方向选择 | 2026-10-08
NEUTRALno_house_view
Deep diveRead
HRCSHFE.HC 2026-10-08
上期所 热卷主力连续（SHFE.HC）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
SHFE NickelSHFE.NI 2026-10-08
沪镍（SHFE.NI）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTneutral_context
Deep diveRead
Offset PaperSHFE.OP 2026-10-08
SHFE.OP(M2611)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空：减仓下行与低分位区间 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
SHFE TinSHFE.SN 2026-10-08
上期所 沪锡主力连续(SHFE.SN)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead
PulpSHFE.SP 2026-10-08
SHFE.SP纸浆2611深度分析报告 | 增仓下跌后方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
SHORTno_house_view
Deep diveRead

Previous briefs

2026-10-01：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-01 偏多：减仓回补叠加节前低波动 | 2026-10-01 View 2026-09-30：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-30 破位后夜盘修复 偏空 | 2026-09-30 View 2026-09-29：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-29 金价失守900关口 | 2026-09-29 View 2026-09-28：Single-name沪金深度 | 20日低点923.3上方缩量整理与COT净多连降 | 2026-09-28 View 2026-09-27：Single-name沪金深度 | 20日低点923.3保卫战与COT拥挤度回落 | 2026-09-27 View 2026-09-26：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-26 期价失守930关口，金银比回落至67.7 | 2026-09-26 View 2026-09-25：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-25 | 主力失守930 | 2026-09-25 View 2026-09-24：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-24 | 内外分化：沪金贴水修复与COT拥挤度92.58 | 2026-09-24 View 2026-09-23：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-23 高位回落测试20日支撑 | 2026-09-23 View 2026-09-22：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-22 | 内外分化待变盘 | 2026-09-22 View 2026-09-21：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-21 | 内外分化与高拥挤度并存 | 2026-09-21 View 2026-09-20：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2026-09-20 | 内外分化与高拥挤度博弈 | 2026-09-20 View 2025-06-10：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2025-06-10 缩量整固待方向 View 2025-06-09：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2025-06-09 失守MA5 View 2025-06-06：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2025-06-06 内外分化延续 View 2025-06-05：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2025-06-05 内外分化待变盘 View 2025-06-04：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2025-06-04 内外分化延续，782关口多空胶着 View 2025-06-03：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2025-06-03 内外分化，沪金放量领涨 View 2025-05-30：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2025-05-30 内外分化，缩量减仓待方向 View 2025-05-29：Single-name沪金(SHFE.AU)深度分析报告 | 2025-05-29 失守MA20，内外分化 View

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