📅 2026-10-08
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SHFE Nickel · Single-name brief
This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
沪镍（SHFE.NI）深度分析报告｜偏空 | 2026-10-08
方向结论：偏空。沪镍主力M2611在上一已确认结算日（2026-09-30）结算价121760，5日跌2.31%、20日跌4.71%，价格位于20日通道120270–129540的19.1%分位，趋势与位置均指向下方；LME镍库存284178吨（截至2026-10-06）近20期累计增13170吨，SHFE镍仓单90835吨（截至2026-09-30）虽单日减739吨但绝对量仍高，供给端持续压制；主力名义持仓160.5亿元、日减0.84亿元，减仓下跌显示多头离场而非空头回补，资金面不支撑反弹。方向失效条件：若M2611结算价有效站上枢轴P 121880并连续两日收于R1 122390上方，或LME库存出现连续三日以上大幅去化，则偏空逻辑失效，转为中性观望。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
🇺🇸English original - AI-generated research (not machine translation)
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