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Data as of: 2026-10-08 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
DCE.B豆二深度分析报告 | 减仓反弹遇20日通道下沿,中性观望 | 2026-10-09
DCE.B豆二方向结论为中性观望:盘面在20日通道下沿附近出现减仓上涨(空头回补),但5日、20日涨跌仍为负,缺乏多头主动增仓的确认。三条核心理由:一是[10-08结算]4086元/吨,5日-1.02%、20日-1.48%,20日通道3996–4222位置仅28.8%,反弹属弱势修复;二是主力持仓142005手减8855手、主力名义持仓日减3.6亿元,减仓上涨定性为空头回补而非趋势反转;三是美豆压榨利润2.5174美元/蒲式耳(2026-10-07)处1年分位60.71%,国际市场ZS=F结算1287.5美分、20日-3.36%,成本端无向上驱动。方向失效条件:若结算价有效站上枢轴P 4075.33并伴随主力增仓,则空头回补逻辑作废,转为偏多;若失守S1 4032.67并放量,则下看20日低点3996。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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