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データ基準日: 2026-10-08 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

000300.SS Deep Dive | Breakdown Below 20D Low, Bearish Bias | 2026-10-09

We maintain a bearish bias on 000300.SS following a decisive break below the 20-day support zone, with the instrument settling at 4310.28 on October 8, 2026. This move invalidates the prior consolidation range and exposes downside targets near the 2026-09-28 low. The technical structure now favors further weakness, supported by a 5-day decline of 4.58% and a 20-day drop of 5.23%. While the broader macro backdrop includes elevated US Treasury yields and a stable dollar, the primary driver remains the technical breakdown. Invalidation would require a sustained close above the 20-day pivot at 4327.88, which currently acts as resistance. Until such a reversal occurs, the path of least resistance remains lower, with the next significant support located at the 20-day low of 4289.79. Traders should remain cautious and avoid catching the falling knife, waiting for signs of stabilization or a confirmed reversal pattern before considering long positions.