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データ基準日: 2026-10-08 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

CN=F (CN=F) Deep Dive | Break Below 13751, Bias Bearish | 2026-10-09

We maintain a bearish bias on CN=F (CN=F) following the settle-based breach of the 20-day low at 13751, with the instrument now trading at 13717. This breakdown signals a loss of near-term structural support and opens the path to test lower liquidity zones, specifically the 20-day channel floor and the 52-week low. The technical setup is reinforced by a 20-day decline of 6.07% and a 5-day drop of 0.95%, indicating sustained selling pressure. While intraday Asian trade shows a slight stabilization near 13680, the underlying momentum remains negative as the market fails to reclaim the 13798 pivot. We expect further downside unless a decisive close above 13924 occurs, which would invalidate the bearish thesis. The current price action reflects a shift from consolidation to distribution, with the risk of accelerated selling if the 13590 support level is breached.