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Data as of: 2026-10-08 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
DCE.FB(DCE.FB)深度分析报告 | 破20日低点转空,关注1227.5支撑 | 2026-10-09
方向结论:偏空。DCE.FB 纤维板主力合约在报告日前一交易日结算价1251.5,单日跌2.82%,5日跌2.48%、20日跌2.21%,且盘中1239已跌破此前20日低点1243,20日通道位置0%,弱势格局明确。三条核心理由:一是价格创20日新低且收于通道下沿,ATR14为14.64,波动放大而方向向下;二是主力持仓8019手仅增170手,增仓下跌显示空头主动增仓而非空头回补,下行有资金配合;三是宏观端美元指数102.12小幅走弱、美债收益率5.231回落,但未能给纤维板带来有效提振,内需定价品种缺乏外部驱动。方向失效条件:若结算价重新站上枢轴P 1250.5并有效突破R1 1262,则空头逻辑失效,转为中性观望。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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