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Data as of: 2026-10-08 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
焦炭(DCE.J)深度分析报告 | 空头主导下探支撑 | 2026-10-09
焦炭(DCE.J)短期方向明确偏空。核心逻辑在于:主力合约增仓下跌显示空头主动施压,20日跌幅扩大至-10.47%且价格位于20日通道下沿附近,技术面承压明显。基本面方面,黑色产业链整体需求预期偏弱,库存压力未现显著缓解,基差结构不支持价格快速反弹。尽管夜盘有小幅修复,但受制于上方1986枢轴阻力及20日高点1979压制,反弹空间受限。方向失效条件为价格有效站稳20日通道上沿2210.5或突破周线高点1975.5并伴随大幅减仓,否则下行风险仍存。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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