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Data as of: 2026-10-09 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
中金所 2年国债主力连续(CFFEX.TS)深度分析报告 | 偏多:102.57 支撑确认 | 2026-10-10
方向:偏多。核心逻辑在于 2 年国债收益率处于历史低位区间,宏观流动性宽松预期支撑债市,技术面在 102.57 关键位获得支撑,且持仓结构显示空头回补迹象。主要风险来自通胀数据超预期或政策边际收紧。当前价格位于 20 日通道下沿附近,若有效站稳 102.56 则有望挑战 102.62 前高。需密切关注 10 月 14 日 CPI 与 PPI 数据发布,若数据大幅超预期可能引发方向修正。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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