This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-10-13 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
Shanghai Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bullish Bias: Resonance of Safe-Haven Demand and Relative-Value Advantage | 2026-10-14
This report maintains a bullish bias on Shanghai Gold (AU2612). The core logic is as follows: First, at the macro level, the risk of U.S. inflation data exceeding expectations raises real interest rate volatility, highlighting gold's value as a safe-haven allocation; second, technically the price is near the lower band of the 20-day channel, and the current price has a night-session repair need relative to the settlement price, with pivot S1 providing support; third, cross-asset relative value shows the gold-silver ratio at a 1-year 82.54% high percentile, with silver relatively weak and capital concentrating in gold's safe-haven attribute. The invalidation conditions for the directional view are: an effective daily close below 897.98, or a sustained night-session break below 895.
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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