This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-10-14 · Settlement: Exchange final daily settlement
RSS3=F Deep Dive | LONG — 20D uptrend intact, 451.03 invalidation | 2026-10-15
We are LONG RSS3=F with invalidation on a daily close below 451.03 (pivot S2). The prior session settled at 453 [settle 10-14], down 1.07% (settle) but still up 6.46% over 20 sessions and flat over 5 days, holding 64.4% of the 425.5–468.2 20-day channel. The 10-13 print of 468.2 is the 20-day and 52-week high; the 10-14 pullback stalled above S1 454.47 intraday before settling at 453, keeping the ladder constructive. ATR14 is 7.77 (1.72% of price, full daily range) and RV20 is 16.7%, so a move beyond a pivot is meaningful rather than noise. Fundamentals are thin for this contract: no term-structure, inventory, rig, ETF or margin series are available, so the call rests on price structure and cross-asset context. Copper/gold at 1.62 sits at the 100th 1-year percentile, a pro-growth tape consistent with holding long risk in industrial commodities; oil/gold at 0.0231 is at the 97th 1-year percentile. A break above 461.33 (pivot P) targets 471.63 (R2), roughly 1.1 ATR beyond the pivot; a daily close below 451.03 (S2) invalidates the bullish structure and targets 443.26, about one ATR below S2. No Asia print was available for this issue.
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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