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📅 2026-10-18 · 上海期貨・金主力 · 銘柄別深度レポート

本レポート提供元 MacroTerms.com

データ基準日: 2026-10-16 · 決済基準: 取引所決済価格(北京時間15:00終値、前回決済比)

Shanghai Gold (AU2612) In-Depth Analysis Report | Slightly Bullish: Seat Net Longs Expand, Short-Covering Repair | 2026-10-18

Directional conclusion: slightly bullish. Shanghai Gold 2612 [10-16 settlement] reported at 898.8 yuan/gram, 10-16 day session closed at 901.82 (+1.36%), night session closed at 898.62 (-0.02%), still down 5.78% over 20 days and at the 27.1% percentile of the 20-day channel, a repair rally after an oversold move. Core rationale: top-20 seats net long 168,988 lots, expanding by 9,557 lots versus the prior day; long positions 230,505 lots (+3,709), short positions 61,517 lots (-566); the main contract rose on a 621-lot open-interest decline, characterized as short covering; COMEX registered gold 14.82 Moz unchanged, SHFE warrants 116,928 kilograms (+900), inventories neutral; GLD up 0.67% over 20 days; GVZ 22.58 at the 12% percentile of one year, IV-RV +4.3 volatility points, options pay a limited price for event risk. Invalidation conditions: daily close below S1 883.8 (below the 20-day low of 881.82), or holding above R1 901.42 and then breaking above 908.7 (the 10-13 high).

過去のレポート

2026-10-17:銘柄別Shanghai Gold (AU2612) In-Depth Analysis Report | Slightly Bullish: Rebound on Reduced Open Interest Awaits Confirmation | 2026-10-17 見る 2026-10-16:銘柄別Shanghai Gold (AU2612) In-Depth Analysis Report | Slightly Bullish: Night Session Reclaims Pivot, Premium Inversion Narrows | 2026-10-16 見る 2026-10-15:銘柄別Shanghai Gold (AU2612) In-Depth Report | Bearish Bias: Pressure at Lower Edge of 20-Day Channel | 2026-10-15 見る 2026-10-14:銘柄別Shanghai Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bullish Bias: Resonance of Safe-Haven Demand and Relative-Value Advantage | 2026-10-14 見る 2026-10-13:銘柄別Shanghai Gold (AU2612) In-Depth Analysis Report | Slightly Bullish: Position-Increase Rebound at 20-Day Low | 2026-10-13 見る 2026-10-12:銘柄別Shanghai Gold (AU2612) In-depth Report | Bullish Bias: Rising Open Interest and Falling Gold/Silver Ratio | 2026-10-12 見る 2026-10-11:銘柄別Shanghai Gold (AU2612) In-Depth Analysis Report | High-Level Oscillation with Bullish Bias | 2026-10-11 見る 2026-10-10:銘柄別SHFE Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bullish: Night Session Breakout and Open Interest Increase in Resonance | 2026-10-10 見る 2026-10-09:銘柄別旧カバレッジShanghai Gold (SHFE.AU) In-depth Analysis Report | Bullish Bias: Gold-to-Silver Ratio at Low Levels | 2026-10-09 見る 2026-10-08:銘柄別旧カバレッジShanghai Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bullish Bias: Short Covering and Low-Percentile Support | 2026-10-08 見る 2026-10-01:銘柄別旧カバレッジShanghai Gold (SHFE.AU) In-depth Analysis Report | 2026-10-01 Moderately Bullish: Position-cut rebound叠加pre-holiday low volatility | 2026-10-01 見る 2026-09-30:銘柄別旧カバレッジSHFE Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-30 Breakdown Followed by Night Session Repair, Bearish | 2026-09-30 見る 2026-09-29:銘柄別旧カバレッジSHFE Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-29 Gold Price Loses 900 Level | 2026-09-29 見る 2026-09-28:銘柄別旧カバレッジShanghai Gold In-Depth | Low-Volume Consolidation Above 20-Day Low of 923.3 and COT Net Longs Falling for Consecutive Weeks | 2026-09-28 見る 2026-09-27:銘柄別旧カバレッジShanghai Gold Deep Dive | Defense of the 20-Day Low at 923.3 and COT Crowding Pullback | 2026-09-27 見る 2026-09-26:銘柄別旧カバレッジSHFE Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Report | 2026-09-26 Price loses 930 level, gold/silver ratio falls to 67.7 | 2026-09-26 見る 2026-09-25:銘柄別旧カバレッジShanghai Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-25 | Main Contract Loses 930 | 2026-09-25 見る 2026-09-24:銘柄別旧カバレッジShanghai Gold (SHFE.AU) In-depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-24 | Domestic-International Divergence: SHFE Discount Repair and COT Crowding 92.58 | 2026-09-24 見る 2026-09-23:銘柄別旧カバレッジSHFE Gold (SHFE.AU) In-depth Report | 2026-09-23 Pullback from Highs Tests 20-Day Support | 2026-09-23 見る 2026-09-22:銘柄別旧カバレッジShanghai Gold (SHFE.AU) In-depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-22 | Domestic-International Divergence Awaiting Break | 2026-09-22 見る

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