M
MacroTerms
👑 会員を購入 マイページ
📰 モーニング内参 👤 概要 ⚙️ 設定 📒 アイデアブック 🧾 定期購読・履歴 🎫 サポート
← メインレポートに戻る
📅 2026-10-19 · 上海期貨・鉄筋主力 · 銘柄別深度レポート

本レポート提供元 MacroTerms.com

データ基準日: 2026-10-16 · 決済基準: 取引所決済価格（北京時間15:00終値、前回決済比）

Rebar (RB2701) In-Depth Analysis Report | Moderately Bullish: Rising on Increased Open Interest Testing 3084 | 2026-10-19

Directional conclusion: Moderately bullish. Rebar RB2701 settled at 3072 yuan/ton (+0.26%) on [10-16 settlement], night session closed at 3086 (+0.46% vs settlement), main contract open interest 1740703 lots up 8449 lots, notional open interest 53.51 billion yuan up 2.6 billion yuan, showing a pattern of active long-side position building. Technically, price is at the 23.3% percentile of the 20-day channel 3053–3143, near the next pivot P 3072.67, with R1 3084.33 above. Fundamentals show inventory divergence: early-October social inventory 9.39 million tons, up 2.7% month-on-month; late-September key steelmaker inventory 15.65 million tons, down 8.4% month-on-month, with steelmaker destocking outpacing social accumulation. On the funding side, top-20 seats are net long 11042 lots but narrowed by 4189 lots versus the prior day, a hidden concern within the moderately bullish stance. Invalidation condition: daily close below 3053 (20-day low).

銘柄別深度レポート 深度分析

上海期貨・金主力SHFE.AU 2026-10-19
SHFE Gold (SHFE.AU) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bullish Bias | 2026-10-19
LONGdaily-briefaligned
深掘り読む
上海期貨・銀主力SHFE.AG 2026-10-09
Shanghai Silver (SHFE.AG) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bears in Control, Below 14745 Target 14220 | 2026-10-09
SHORTneutral_contextrevised旧カバレッジ
深掘り読む
上海期貨・銅主力SHFE.CU 2026-10-19
SHFE Copper (CU2611) In-depth Analysis Report | Bullish Bias: Inventory Destocking and High Copper-Gold Ratio Resonance | 2026-10-19
LONGneutral_context
深掘り読む
上海期貨・鉄筋主力SHFE.RB 2026-10-19
Rebar (RB2701) In-Depth Analysis Report | Moderately Bullish: Rising on Increased Open Interest Testing 3084 | 2026-10-19
LONGneutral_context
深掘り読む
リンゴCZCE.AP 2026-10-19
CZCE.AP(AP2701) In-depth Analysis Report | Bearish: Rising Open Interest Breakdown, Record-High Open Interest | 2026-10-19
SHORTno_house_view
深掘り読む
大連・鉄鉱石主力DCE.I 2026-10-19
Iron Ore (I2701) In-Depth Analysis Report | Slightly Bullish: Night Session Short Covering, Stabilizing Near 20-Day Low Zone | 2026-10-19
LONGno_house_view
深掘り読む
鶏卵DCE.JD 2026-10-19
DCE Egg Main Continuous (DCE.JD) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bearish: Position-cutting decline in the lower range of the past 20 days | 2026-10-19
SHORTno_house_view
深掘り読む

過去のレポート

2026-10-18：銘柄別Rebar (RB2701) In-depth Analysis Report | Slightly Bullish: Rising on Increased Open Interest, Inventory Destocking | 2026-10-18 見る 2026-10-17：銘柄別Rebar (RB2701) In-depth Analysis Report | Slightly Bullish: Inventory Destocking Plus Rising Open Interest Driving Gains | 2026-10-17 見る 2026-10-16：銘柄別Rebar (RB2701) In-depth Analysis Report | Bearish bias: rising open interest drives price down to test 20-day low | 2026-10-16 見る 2026-10-15：銘柄別Rebar (RB2701) Deep Analysis Report | Bearish: Pressured at Lower End of 20-Day Range | 2026-10-15 見る 2026-10-14：銘柄別Rebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bearish Bias: Risk of Position-Increase Breakdown | 2026-10-14 見る 2026-10-13：銘柄別Rebar (RB2701) In-depth Analysis | Bullish Bias: Net Longs Surge, Above 3095 Target 3123 | 2026-10-13 見る 2026-10-12：銘柄別Rebar (RB2701) In-depth Analysis Report | Bearish bias: Testing 3060 support at lower edge of 20-day channel | 2026-10-12 見る 2026-10-11：銘柄別Rebar (SHFE.RB) In-depth Analysis Report | Bearish: Position-Cut Rebound Fails to Break Downward Channel | 2026-10-11 見る 2026-10-10：銘柄別Rebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | Oscillating with Bullish Bias amid Short Covering | 2026-10-10 見る 2026-10-09：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | Broke Below 20-Day Low, Bearish | 2026-10-09 見る 2026-10-08：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | Rebound Game Under Short Covering | 2026-10-08 見る 2026-10-01：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | 2026-10-01 Bearish: M2701 Position Reduction and Short Covering Unlikely to Change Downtrend | 2026-10-01 見る 2026-09-30：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-30 Bullish: Basis Premium Widens, Short Covering | 2026-09-30 見る 2026-09-29：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-29 | Low-Volume Tug-of-War at the 3100 Level | 2026-09-29 見る 2026-09-28：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar Deep Dive | 3118 yuan below MA20, pre-holiday volume contraction awaits PMI | 2026-09-28 見る 2026-09-27：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar Deep Dive | 3118 yuan discount to MA20, volume shrinks ahead of PMI | 2026-09-27 見る 2026-09-26：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-26 | 3118 Shrinking Volume Discount to MA20 | 2026-09-26 見る 2026-09-25：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-Depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-25 | 3118 Narrow Consolidation Awaiting PMI Guidance | 2026-09-25 見る 2026-09-24：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-24 | 3113 yuan, shrinking volume, discount to MA20, longs and shorts in stalemate awaiting PMI | 2026-09-24 見る 2026-09-23：銘柄別旧カバレッジRebar (SHFE.RB) In-depth Analysis Report | 2026-09-23 | Shrinking Volume, Discount to MA20, Awaiting Directional Choice | 2026-09-23 見る

⟠ 今月の戦略バックテスト

日報AI取引アイデアを日次で客観精算 · ストップ/ターゲット自動判定

* バックテストは日報の取引アイデアを日次で精算：ストップ/ターゲットの先到を優先、期間末は終値で手仕舞い。過去の成績は将来を保証しません。