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데이터 기준일: 2026-10-16 · 결제 기준: 거래소 결제가(베이징 시간 15:00 종가, 전일 결제 대비)

DCE Eggs Main Continuous (DCE.JD) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bearish Bias: Position-Reduced Decline in Near-20-Day Low Zone | 2026-10-20

Direction conclusion: bearish bias. Eggs main continuous execution contract JD2612, [10-16 settlement] 3351, [10-16 close] 3332, -0.98% vs prior settlement, 5-day -7.85%, 20-day -13.27%; price at the 7.7% percentile of the 20-day channel 3284–3908, close to the 20-day low 3284. ATR14 86.79 (2.6%), RV20 25.6%, volatility significantly expanded. Main nominal open interest 93.4 亿元, daily change -3.95 亿元, open interest -11852 hands, a decline on reduced positions with longs actively exiting. Next pivot P 3344.67, R1 3377.33, S1 3299.33; [10-16 close] has broken below P and is less than half an ATR from S1, S1 not treated as a trading level. Core driver is the resonance of spot weakness and long liquidation; invalidation condition is a daily close firmly above 3377.33.