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📅 2026-10-23 · COMEX Silver · Single-name brief

This report is provided by MacroTerms.com

Data as of: 2026-10-22 · Settlement: Exchange final daily settlement

Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 55.007 settle broke 20-day low 55.56 | 2026-10-23

Bearish: the 2026-10-22 settle of 55.007 broke below the prior 20-day low of 55.56, and the call stays short while price holds under the NEXT pivot P at 55.881. Three reasons: first, the 20-day change is -14.05% with the settle sitting at the 4th percentile of the 20-day channel (54.53–65.505), i.e. a persistent downtrend, not a one-day air pocket. Second, the 2026-10-22 session was a true range expansion — a 3.575 handle versus ATR14 of 2.079 — with managed-money net length already cut from 13,309 to 5,619 contracts over four weeks, so selling is not yet crowded (netPct 5.18%, 3-year crowding percentile 33.74). Third, the gold/silver ratio at 73.82 sits in the 90th 1-year percentile, confirming silver is the laggard leg of the metals complex. Inventory draws (COMEX registered 103.33 Moz as of 2026-10-20, SHFE warrants 1,368,583 kg as of 2026-10-22) and a +1.7% rise in SLV holdings are the only offsets, and they have not arrested the slide. Invalidation: a daily close back above 55.881 (NEXT P) would neutralize the break; a move above R1 57.231 would flip the view. Downside, a break of the 20-day low 54.53 targets S1 53.656, then S2 52.306.

Previous briefs

2026-10-22:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | LONG: Base Above 57.035, 20D Drawdown Overdone | 2026-10-22 View 2026-10-21:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Long: 20D washout, SIZ26 reclaiming 58 | 2026-10-21 View 2026-10-20:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 20D -13.8%, SIZ26 below P 57.394 | 2026-10-20 View 2026-10-19:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Long: 20D oversold, ETF inflows, weak COT vs price | 2026-10-19 View 2026-10-18:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 57.305 settle below P 56.822, S1 55.954 next | 2026-10-18 View 2026-10-17:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 5D slide, S1 55.954 invalidation | 2026-10-17 View 2026-10-16:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 20D -13.5%, S1 54.426 Holds Key | 2026-10-16 View 2026-10-15:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Short: 20-day low 58.73 broken, 55.56 in play | 2026-10-15 View 2026-10-14:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Long: Deficit Floor at 58.73, 20D Reversal Setup | 2026-10-14 View 2026-10-13:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Long COMEX Dec Silver (SIZ26) — Rebound From 58.73 | 2026-10-13 View 2026-10-12:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Long: Rebound From 20-Day Low, 60.65 Pivot Holds | 2026-10-12 View 2026-10-11:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | LONG: Rebound Off 58.73 Low, Pivot P 60.653 Holds | 2026-10-11 View 2026-10-10:Single-nameSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Breakout Play | 2026-10-10 View 2026-10-09:Single-nameLegacy coverageSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Rebound on Oversold Technicals | 2026-10-09 View 2026-10-08:Single-nameLegacy coverageSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Long on Oversold Bounce | 2026-10-08 View 2026-10-07:Single-nameLegacy coverageSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-07 — Base-building above 60, LONG into 63.1 | 2026-10-07 View 2026-10-06:Single-nameLegacy coverageSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-06 — Bearish: 20D Downtrend Intact, 61.45 Pivot Caps | 2026-10-06 View 2026-10-05:Single-nameLegacy coverageSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-05 — Bearish, 59.99 Floor Under Pressure | 2026-10-05 View 2026-10-04:Single-nameLegacy coverageSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-04 — Bearish Below 60.95, Sellers Control the Tape | 2026-10-04 View 2026-10-03:Single-nameLegacy coverageSilver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-03 — Bearish: 20-Day Channel Floor at Risk | 2026-10-03 View

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