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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
CZCE.PX深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空:低持仓分位下的减仓下跌 | 2026-10-08
方向结论:偏空。PX主力合约(郑商所PX,连续合约映射主力)在2026-09-30结算9194元/吨,较前一结算跌0.22%,5日跌1.01%,20日仍涨6.95%,但主力持仓降至101556手(-22984手),名义持仓单日缩水10.58亿元,呈减仓下跌、多头离场特征;持仓处于近一年第3百分位,资金参与度极低,反弹缺乏承接。20日通道8526–9948、位置47.8%,价格贴近枢轴P 9211.33,ATR14 352.71(3.83%),RV20 32.6%,波动仍高。上一根已收盘周线(09-28至09-30)收9206、跌2.21%,周线动能转弱。方向失效条件:结算价有效站上R1 9392.67并伴随持仓回升,则空头逻辑作废。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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