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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
DCE.LG(DCE.LG)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 中性观望 等待CPI/PPI指引 | 2026-10-08
结论:中性观望。三条核心理由:一是主力持仓9241手、单期减少3091手,资金离场而非趋势建仓,价格窄幅震荡缺乏增量资金确认;二是20日区间下沿821尚未被有效跌破,但上沿842.5亦未被挑战,价格处于区间下三分之一,多空均无赔率优势;三是宏观端美元指数101.85(-0.32%,2026-10-06)与美债10年期5.27%(-0.79%)边际走弱,但10-14中国CPI/PPI公布前缺乏方向催化。方向失效条件:若结算价有效跌破821(20日低点)则转偏空;若放量站稳842.5(20日高点)则转偏多。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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