📅 2026-10-08
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Cast Aluminum Alloy · Single-name brief
This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
SHFE.AD(M2611)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 持仓极值下的方向抉择 | 2026-10-08
方向结论：中性观望。核心逻辑有三：其一，主力持仓7463手、单期减少3054手，处于过去一年第2百分位，前20席位多空双减、净空800手，资金参与度极低，任何方向性突破缺乏持仓确认；其二，结算价23590元/吨距枢轴P 23546.67仅43元，20日通道位置47.5%，5日跌0.44%、20日涨0.15%，价格处于无趋势震荡区，ATR14为285元，不足以支撑有效止损空间；方向失效条件：若M2611结算价有效突破23935（20日高点）或跌破23145（20日低点），且主力持仓同步回升至1.2万手以上，则转为顺势方向。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
🇺🇸English original - AI-generated research (not machine translation)
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