📅 2026-10-08
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Bitumen · Single-name brief
This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
SHFE.BU(沥青2611)深度分析 | 减仓下跌后方向偏空 | 2026-10-08
方向结论：偏空。沥青主力M2611在9月30日结算5091元/吨，单日跌3.5%，5日跌1.67%，20日仍涨1.6%，但主力持仓单日骤减53419手至155550手，主力名义持仓日变-26.78亿元，属典型减仓下跌、多头离场，前20席位净多同步收缩44893手，资金面与价格同向转弱。价格位于20日通道4676–5543的38.9%分位，已跌破枢轴P5059.67并逼近S1 4915.33，ATR14高达234.64（4.68%），波动放大而方向向下。上一根已收盘周线（9月28日至30日）收5013、周跌4.62%，周线动能转弱。基本面与宏观缺乏新增利多驱动，美元指数101.85回落但未能提振商品。方向失效条件：若结算价重新站上P5059.67并伴随主力持仓回升，则空头逻辑失效。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
🇺🇸English original - AI-generated research (not machine translation)
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