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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
中证1000主力连续(IM)深度分析 | 偏空:贴20日下沿缩量整理 | 2026-10-08
方向结论:偏空。中证1000主力连续(IM)结算价7168.8(2026-09-30结算),5日跌5.43%、20日跌6.23%,位于20日通道7076.2–7714.6的14.5%分位,价格贴近下沿;ATR14为171.01点(2.39%),RV20为25.7%,波动仍高但主力持仓249327手、单日减7296手,反弹缺乏增量多头承接。上一根已收盘周线(09-28~09-30)收7168.8、周跌3.01%,中期结构仍偏弱。宏观端美债10年期收益率5.27%、美元指数101.85(10-06),外部流动性约束未解除。方向失效条件:结算价有效站上枢轴P 7184.6并连续两日收于R1 7216.2之上,或宏观出现超预期宽松信号。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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