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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
沪铝M2611深度分析 | 跌破20日低点后偏空,关注23760枢轴支撑 | 2026-10-08
方向结论:偏空。沪铝主力M2611结算价23900(2026-09-30)已跌破此前20日低点23920,5日跌1.69%、20日跌1.16%,20日通道位置仅3.4%,价格贴近区间下沿;主力持仓258589手减7189手,名义持仓日减8.57亿元,呈减仓下跌、多头离场特征;SHFE铝仓单121863吨(截至2026-09-30)日减6880吨,但国际与中国市场溢价-0.81%显示中国相对国际市场偏弱,进口窗口未打开。方向失效条件:M2611结算价重新站上20日通道上沿24675,或单日增仓幅度超过1万手且价格收于24200上方。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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