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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
上期所 沪锡主力连续(SHFE.SN)深度分析报告 | 2026-10-08 偏空 | 2026-10-08
沪锡主力M2611偏空。核心逻辑:20日累计下跌3.28%且5日仍跌0.19%,价格位于20日通道52.3%中位,趋势动能偏弱;主力持仓单日减少1992手至27995手,名义持仓日降8.16亿元,减仓上涨属空头回补而非多头主动增仓,反弹持续性存疑;SHFE锡锭仓单截至9月30日增至4158吨(日增45吨),中国显性库存边际累积,而LME库存截至10月6日降至4405吨(日减25吨),外强内弱格局延续,国际与中国市场比价承压。方向失效条件:若M2611结算价有效站上20日高点427970,则空头逻辑证伪,需转为观望。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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